Sunday 27 January 2013

Weekly Summary up to 27/01/2013

It's been a frustrating week for VATR with only the one bet returning any dough! We've managed to lose 6.5 points this week which means over the last two we are half a point in the red. Not the continued flow of winners I'd hoped for as we started January on fire!

As with any betting activity though, we inevitably go through the losing runs to come out the other side with a winning one. This should be just around the corner as I'm hoping that we start to see the return of the jumps action with the snow disappearing as quickly as it came.

We started the week with a no show as more meetings were abandoned and faced the rest of this week with only the AW to look at. From eight selections we had four that beat the market, two that were the same SP as advised and the other two drifted. This confirms that we're finding the value consistently enough to turn a profit in the long run.

Here is a list of this weeks bets and a summary below that:


Monday 21st January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
NO SELECTIONS TODAY£1712.50£17125.00

Tuesday 22nd January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
16:40 Wolverhampton Follow The Flag @ 15/2 (8.50) CoralLoss614.86-10.00£1612.50£16125.00
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
17:10 Wolverhampton Precision Five @ 2/1 (3.00) Bet 365Loss43.25-10.00£1512.50£15125.00

Wednesday 23rd January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
15:00 Lingfield Muhandis @ 11/4 (3.75) Bet 365Loss311/4-10.00£1412.50£14125.00
18:00 Kempton Boris The Bold @ 3/1 (4.00) Bet 365Loss811/4-10.00£1312.50£13125.00

Thursday 24th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
16:35 Kempton Pastoral Jet @ 3/1 (4.00) Stan JamesLoss27/4-10.00£1212.50£12125.00

Friday 25th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
16:30 Wolverhampton I'm Harry @ 7/1 (8.00) Boyle SportsLoss85/1-10.00£1112.50£11125.00

Saturday 26th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
12:10 Cheltenham Knight Of Pleasure @ 16/1 (17.00) Bet 365Loss712/1-10.00£1012.50£10125.00
13:15 Cheltenham Nadiya De La Vega @ 8/1 (9.00) Bet VictorPlace38/15.00£1062.50£10625.00

Sunday 27th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
NO SELECTIONS TODAY£1062.50£10625.00

Profit/Loss: -6.50 Points
Strike Rate: 12.50%
ROI: -81.25%


I'll be back next week with the weekly summary and I'm feeling optimistic that the results will be more positive as we head into February.

Regards,

Ed

Sunday 20 January 2013

Weekly Summary up to 20/01/13

A cracking start to the week with three winners at 5/2, 7/4 and 7/1 from the first two days advice.

So with Monday and Tuesday adding funds to the betting bank we moved onto Wednesday and a fairly restricted view of Lingfield's second race. From a limited view point on At The Races it seemed that The Strig advised @ 9/2 switched to the outside with a 100 yards to go. I'll never know if that cost him the race as I couldn't make out what was where with all the mist surrounding the runners but it has established a "trend" in my betting that I have addressed today (days like today are ideal for evaluating your portfolios as we are "snowed under" and racing is abandoned!)........

I have decided to minimise my betting in 5, 6 and 7 furlong races. That doesn't mean that I won't tip anything in these short races if I feel they offer value but the time I spend researching them will be limited as I focus more on 1 milers and above. I have continued consistently to find winners in the longer races and this is something that will now be focused upon with Value At The Races

Onto Thursday and Definity didn't just miss out on a win he was beaten by 22 lengths having been fairly well respected in the market. It was a huge disappointment to the likes of myself as I'd staked quite a hefty chunk in him but it wasn't to be!

Then the weather hit! Friday was just a no go with non-runners galore and adverse conditions affecting everything from milk and bread supplies to four legged creatures running round in a circle!

Saturday started well with my tissue showing that Amosite was a 5/1 shot and offered tremendous e/w value at 11's. My thinking was that Glastonberry would be the main danger so getting 7/4 for the place was "standout", the win would have been even better! It wasn't to be for our other two runners and they were top rated in my book but just couldn't pull off a win on the day. Interestingly enough, Angelic Upstart runs in a similar race tomorrow and I think she'll come on for Saturdays run. I have availed myself of the 8/1 with Paddy's and hope she can run on and win the race tomorrow (after all it's a 1 miler and this is where I'm focusing from now on!)

Today was a wash out but as I stated before I've been productive, so onto next week and we should get a good run for our money, weather permitting of course!

Below is a list of this weeks runners and a summary below that:

Monday 14th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
14:00 Lingfield Sweet Liberta @ 5/2 (3.50) Bet Victor Win1EVS25.00£1392.50£13925.00
15:30 Lingfield Pairumani Prince @ 7/4 (2.75) Coral Win16/415.00£1542.50£15425.00

Tuesday 15th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
13:00 Lingfield Argentia @ 5/2 (3.50) Bet 365Loss59/4-10.00£1442.50£14425.00
15:50 Ffos Las Tin Pot Man @ 11/2 (6.50) Boyle SportsWin17/170.00£2142.50£21425.00

Wednesday 16th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
15:10 Lingfield The Strig @ 9/2 (5.50) Bet 365Loss24/1-10.00£2042.50£20425.00
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
17:15 Kempton Breakheart @ 10/1 (11.00) CoralLoss-10.00£1942.50£19425.00

Thursday 17th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
14:20 Wincanton Definity @ 3/1 (4.00) Stan JamesLoss29/4-10.00£1842.50£18425.00

Friday 18th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
NO SELECTIONS TODAY£1842.50£18425.00

Saturday 19th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
13:45 Kempton Amosite @ 11/1 (12.00) Bet 365Place212/17.00£1912.50£19125.00
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
14:20 Kempton Angelic Upstart @ 5/1 (6.00) Bet VictorLoss54/1-10.00£1812.50£18125.00
17:05 Kempton Ryedale Dancer @ 4/1 (5.00) Bet 365Loss43/1-10.00£1712.50£17125.00

Sunday 20th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
16:25 Kempton Verse Of Love @ 10/1 (11.00) Bet 365N/AABD£1712.50£17125.00


Profit/Loss: +5.70 Points
Strike Rate: 40%
ROI: 57%

Not a bad week and we can't complain about nearly 6 points on the board.

Weather permitting this good vein of form will continue as we head into next week and let's hope for some sun!

Regards,

Ed

Sunday 13 January 2013

Weekly Summary up to 13/01/13


After a good start to the month we've struggled a little to turn a profit this week. The overall loss for this week has been 1.1 points since Monday which is nothing too drastic but a loss is a loss!

From 13 selections we've hit the frame 9 times with 2nd's and 3rd's. This tells me that we're getting it right here at Value At The Races and the tide will turn going forward. 8 of the selections have beaten the market so again we're certainly obtaining value and this will result in a profit over the long term.

Here is a list of the results so far with a summary at the bottom:


ResultPosPts£10£100
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
15:20 Wolverhampton Arabian Flight @ 7/2 (4.50) Stan James Loss24/1-10.00£1152.50£11525.00
15:40 Taunton Bennys Mist @ 6/4 (2.50) Paddy Power Win15/415.00£1302.50£13025.00

Tuesday 8th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
13:00 Leicester Caulfields Venture @ 10/3 (4.33) Bet 365 Loss211/4-10.00£1202.50£12025.00
14:10 Leicester Minella Class @ 10/3 (4.33) Coral Loss35/1-10.00£1102.50£11025.00
15:35 Chepstow Loughalder @ 7/2 (4.50) Boyle Sports Win16/435.00£1452.50£14525.00

Wednesday 9th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
12:40 Doncaster Little Dutch Girl @ 9/1 (10.00) Paddy Power Place36/14.00£1492.50£14925.00
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
15:35 Ludlow Kilvergan Boy @ 7/2 (4.50) Bet 365 Loss34/1-10.00£1392.50£13925.00

Thursday 10th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
14:15 Catterick Lively Baron @ 13/2 (7.50) Bet 365 Loss815/2-10.00£1292.50£12925.00

Friday 11th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
15:20 Huntingdon Sophonie @ 7/2 (4.50) Bet 365 Loss413/8-10.00£1192.50£11925.00

Saturday 12th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
13:30 Kempton Cloudy Copper @ 5/2 (3.50) Bet 365 Win15/225.00£1442.50£14425.00
Each Way - E/W Stake of 5pt(s) for a Total Stake of 10.00pts
14:40 Kempton Captain Sunshine @ 14/1 (15.00) Bet 365 LossF10/1-10.00£1342.50£13425.00
15:35 Warwick Restless Harry @ 7/1 (8.00) Bet Victor Loss813/2-10.00£1242.50£12425.00

Sunday 13th January 2013

ResultPosPts£10£100
Single - Total Stake : 10.00pts
15:20 Kelso Shooting Times @ 7/2 (4.50) Stan James Loss-10.00£1142.50£11425.00


Profit/Loss: -1.1 Points
Strike Rate: 23.08%
ROI: -8.46%

I will be back next Sunday with another summary and this Saturday, I intend to do a thorough explanation into how I have arrived at my selections with a combination of trends, statistics and form reading.

Have a great week and let's hope that Value At The Races can continue to bring on those winners and show us a profit.

Regards,

Ed